Metro Manila under moderate risk classification for Covid-19 – OCTA

by Charie Mae F. Abarca, Manila Bulletin

Amid its “slow” but “steady” rise in infections, Metro Manila remained at the moderate risk classification for Covid-19, said independent OCTA Research group on Thursday evening, Sept. 29.

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The growth of Covid-19 cases in Metro Manila has slowed, but cases are still rising. This was according to OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David who noted that the seven-day positivity rate in Metro Manila has climbed from 17.5 percent on Sept. 1 to 18.9 percent on Sept. 28.

In contrast, the reproduction number or the average number of secondary infections by each infected individual, has decreased from 1.28 on Sept. 19 to 1.10 as of Sept. 26.

“The average daily attack rate in the National Capital Region (NCR) was 7.42 per day per 100k [population] as of Sept. 29. This is considered moderate,” said David in a tweet. He then added that despite the slow increase in cases, the region’s healthcare utilization rate and intensive care unit (ICU) occupancy remained low.

With the developments in these Covid-19 indicators, David tagged Metro Manila under the “moderate risk” classification of the disease.

Metro Manila now down to 'moderate' risk COVID-19 case classification—DOH

The Department of Health (DOH) said that Metro Manila is now under the “moderate” risk classification after a decreasing trend of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases was observed in recent days.

“Moderate-risk na po ang NCR (National Capital Region) kahapon pa. Bumababa na po ng husto ang ating mga kaso at nakarating na tayo sa moderate case classification (NCR is now at moderate-risk since yesterday. The cases are declining significantly and we have reached the moderate case classification),” said DOH Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire during the Malacanang press briefing on Friday, Jan. 28.

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