‘Paeng’ maintains strength; TD east of northeastern Mindanao to enter PAR Monday morning

Published October 31, 2022, 12:28 AM

by Charie Mae F. Abarca

Tropical storm Paeng (international name: Nalgae) maintained its strength while moving east southeastward away from the Philippine landmass, said the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration on Sunday evening, Oct. 30.

The latest bulletin released by PAGASA showed that Paeng was last seen 255 kilometers (km) west of Iba, Zambales, packing winds of 85 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 105 kph.

Due to this weather disturbance, Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 is still in effect over the following areas in Luzon: Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Aurora, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bataan, Zambales, Metro Manila, the western and central portions of Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Rizal, the northwestern portion of Oriental Mindoro, the northwestern portion of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands, and the northern portion of Quezon. 

“Paeng may exit the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) [on Monday afternoon, Oct. 31] or evening,” said PAGASA.

(PAGASA)

Cyclone east of northeastern Mindanao

Another tropical cyclone will enter the Philippine boundary on Monday morning, Oct. 31, PAGASA warned. 

The cyclone was last spotted 1,055 km east of northeastern Mindanao.

“It will enter the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) [on Monday] morning as tropical depression Queenie. Inside the PAR region, this tropical cyclone will begin turning generally northwestward by late tomorrow or on Tuesday while heading towards the sea east of Caraga region or Eastern Visayas,” said the state weather bureau.

This tropical depression, however, is unlikely to directly affect the country until Tuesday, Nov. 1. It may weaken into a remnant low by Wednesday, Nov. 2.

Cyclone May Enter the Philippines This Week

By Helen Flores (The Philippine Star)

State meteorologists are keeping a close eye on a developing storm off the Pacific Ocean that could enter the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) later this week.

Jori Loiz, senior weather forecaster of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), said the looming cyclone was located some 1,500 kilometers east of the PAR as of yesterday afternoon.

He warned the developing weather disturbance is likely to reach the typhoon category as it hovers over the Pacific Ocean in the next few days.

Loiz told The STAR of two scenarios for the cyclone. The most likely is that the storm could intensify further but will veer north towards Japan. The second scenario is the cyclone will intensity into a typhoon and enter the PAR on Friday.

“The movement of the developing cyclone will depend on the high-pressure area northeast of the Philippines,” Loiz said, noting that the HPA has not moved in the past days.

“The most possible scenario is it will enter the PAR but will recurve toward east of Japan… But if the HPA will not move, the cyclone, which could be a strong one, could make landfall in the Philippines,” he added.

He noted that the location of the looming cyclone is also the place where Super Typhoon Yolanda formed last year.

“Hopefully, the HPA will move, because we expect this to be really strong. It is still far and could gain more strength while over the sea,” Loiz said.

He said one or two cyclones are likely to enter the Philippines this month, warning that cyclones during this time of the year usually make landfall.

The usual track of the cyclones during the latter part of the year is Visayas and Mindanao.

On Nov. 8 last year, Yolanda slammed the Visayas, leaving more than 6,000 people dead and 1,700 missing. Strong storms Pablo and Sendong hit Mindanao in December.

Meanwhile, Loiz said fair weather is expected in most parts of the country in the next three days, apart from isolated rain showers and thunderstorms.

He said a low-pressure area (LPA) that dumped rains in Mindanao and parts of Visayas and Luzon over the weekend was spotted at 75 km west southwest of Romblon, Romblon as of 10 a.m. yesterday.

The LPA was likely to dissipate or continue to cross Southern Luzon towards the West Philippine Sea, where it could regain strength, he said.

Potential Cyclone Nears Mindanao

February 18, 2013 10:23am

Satellite image at 8 a.m., 18 Feb 2013. Satellite image at 8 a.m., 18 Feb 2013 Weather Central

Possible flash floods and landslides threaten parts of Mindanao as a potential cyclone—a low-pressure area—moved closer to Southern Mindanao early Monday, state weather forecasters said.

In a radio interview, PAGASA forecaster Connie Dadivas said the LPA was estimated at 1,120 km east of Southern Mindanao as of 4 a.m.

"May paulan na sa Mindanao. Sa ngayon medyo mahina, 5-7 mm per hour. Pero expect natin in the next 24 hours baka magdulot ito ng moderate to heavy rain," Dadivas said in an interview on dzBB radio.

She also said that while they cannot discount the possibility of the LPA becoming a cyclone, their models presently show it has little chance of intensifying into one.

If the LPA becomes a cyclone while inside the Philippine area of responsibility, it will be codenamed Crising.

"Sa ngayon mahina ang chance maging bagyo. Pagtawid ng Mindanao, LPA pa rin. Sa nakikita natin mahina siya at hindi siya magiging bagyo," she said.

HERE IS MORE:

Potential cyclone nears Mindanao, may bring floods, landslides