By Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz
Published Jul 31, 2025 05:50 pm
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) on Thursday, July 31 said a low-pressure area (LPA) just outside the northern boundary of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) has a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours.
PAGASA weather specialist Leanne Loreto said the LPA was first monitored on Thursday morning.
As of 4 p.m., the weather disturbance was located 955 kilometers east-northeast of extreme Northern Luzon.
Although it is not expected to directly affect the country at present, Loreto said the weather system may briefly enter the PAR before moving out again.
If the LPA intensifies into a tropical cyclone within the PAR, it will be named “Fabian.”
Loreto also noted that based on historical data, two to three tropical cyclones enter or form within the PAR during August.
Meanwhile, cloud clusters east of Mindanao are being closely monitored for potential development into a tropical cyclone.
The southwest monsoon (habagat) continues to affect Central and Northern Luzon but is expected to gradually weaken in the coming days, bringing improved weather conditions.
In the next 24 hours, Loreto said residents of Ilocos Region, Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Apayao, Abra, Benguet, Zambales, Bataan, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, and Pampanga can expect cloudy skies with scattered monsoon rains and thunderstorms, accompanied by moderate to occasionally heavy rains that could trigger flash floods or landslides.
Metro Manila, the rest of Luzon, and Visayas will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms due to the habagat, while Mindanao will have similar conditions brought by localized thunderstorms.
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