By Merlina Hernando-Malipot
Published Nov 1, 2025 08:30 am
A tropical depression has formed east of Mindanao and is expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on November 2, 2025. (PAGASA)
The low-pressure area east of Northeastern Mindanao has intensified into a tropical depression, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) announced on Saturday, November 1.
In its latest tropical cyclone advisory issued at 5 a.m., PAGASA said the center of the tropical depression was estimated at 1,430 kilometers east of Northeastern Mindanao, outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), as of 4 a.m.
It currently packs maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour (km/h) near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h, moving westward at 15 km/h.
Once it enters the PAR, the weather disturbance will be given the local name “Tino.”
Forecast and possible track
According to PAGASA’s Tropical Cyclone Advisory No. 1, “Tino” is expected to enter PAR on Sunday, November 2, either in the morning or afternoon.
Afterward, it will move generally westward across the Philippine Sea, with a possible landfall over the Caraga or Eastern Visayas regions by Tuesday morning, November 4.
The system is forecast to cross the Visayas and Palawan between Tuesday and Wednesday (November 4–5) before emerging over the West Philippine Sea.
“Tino will continue to intensify while over the Philippine Sea and may reach typhoon category by Tuesday (November 4),” PAGASA said.
The highest possible alert level that may be raised is Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 4, depending on the storm’s eventual strength and track.
“Further intensification prior to its landfall is not ruled out. Based on the intensity forecast, the highest wind signal that will be hoisted is Wind Signal No. 4,” the weather bureau added.
Early warnings and expected impact
While still outside PAR, PAGASA said the tropical depression is not expected to directly affect local weather or sea conditions within the next 24 hours.
However, Wind Signal No. 1 may already be hoisted over Eastern Visayas and Caraga by Sunday morning or afternoon.
Residents in these regions are advised to prepare for heavy rains starting Sunday evening or Monday morning, with gale warnings possibly in effect by Monday.
PAGASA urged the public, local government units, and disaster risk reduction offices to closely monitor official weather bulletins as “Tino” continues to develop.
“Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to continue monitoring for updates related to this tropical cyclone,” PAGASA said.
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