‘Maymay’ may make landfall over Aurora or northern Quezon — PAGASA

Published October 11, 2022, 1:12 PM

by Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz

(PAGASA / FACEBOOK)

Tropical depression Maymay maintained its strength as it slowly moved west-southwest over the Philippine Sea east of Aurora province on Tuesday morning, Oct. 11, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

In the 11 a.m. bulletin, PAGASA said that Maymay was last spotted at a distance of 285 kilometers east of Casiguran, Aurora and maintained a maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gusts of up to 55 kph.

Should the tropical depression maintain its speed and track, Maymay may make landfall over Aurora or northern Quezon on Wednesday afternoon or evening, Oct. 12, PAGASA said.

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 remains hoisted over Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, and the extreme northern portion of Quezon (General Nakar, Infanta) including Pollilo Islands.

“Winds of 39 to 61 kilometers per hour (kph) may be expected in at least 36 hours or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours,” PAGASA said.

“Today (Oct. 11) through tomorrow morning (Oct, 12), moderate to heavy with at times intense rains [are expected] over Cagayan, Isabela, Batanes, and Apayao. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains [are also expected] over Aurora, Abra, Kalinga, Mountain Province, and Ilocos Norte,” it added.

PAGASA warned against the possibility of scattered to widespread flooding, including flash floods, and rain-induced landslides, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards.

After making landfall, Maymay may traverse the landmass of Central Luzon before emerging over the West Philippine Sea by Thursday morning, Oct. 13.

“Maymay is forecast to maintain its strength prior to its landfall. Due to frictional effects, this tropical cyclone may be downgraded to low pressure area once it emerges over the West Philippine Sea. Weakening to low pressure area while traversing over Central Luzon is not ruled out,” it added.