On the bring of a trade war?

My column in Mindanao Daily.

I asked this question already several times in my previous columns. What's good for the goose is good for the gander. Fact is, the European Union fears divisions as China woos Eastern European nations.

As the world prepares to tackle trade tensions and tit-for-tat tariffs, the summit between leaders of China and Central and Eastern European nations offers a chance for Beijing to present itself as a free trade champion.

Yes, China's Li Keqiang pushes trade with Eastern Europe amid EU concerns. The Chinese premier is meeting with leaders from Central and Eastern European countries at a summit in Sofia as he aims to boost Beijing's trade interests in the region. But let's face it:  Li cannot afford to offend the European Union.
   
The Chinese Prime  seeks to expand business and trade ties with Central and Eastern European countries at a summit in the Bulgarian capital yesterday. But Li must reassure the European Union that Beijing is not trying to divide the 28-nation European bloc.

Li's participation in the seventh "16+1" summit coincides with an escalating trade row with the United States. Last Friday, the US and China slapped tariffs on $34 billion (€29 billion) worth of the other's imports.

China also threatened it could launch "the biggest trade war in history." Well, is the world really at the brink or are well all already in the middle of all mess?

China, which seeks the EU's support in its trade battles with US President Donald Trump, has thus been careful in its dealing with Central and Eastern European nations.

"The 16+1 cooperation is by no means a geopolitical platform. Some say such cooperation may separate the EU, but this is not true," Li told a joint press conference on last Friday with Bulgarian Prime Minister Boyko Borissov.

"We hope that through our cooperation, we will improve the development of all countries involved and help them better integrate into the European integration process," said Li, who will visit Germany after the summit.

The 16+1 summit brings together China and 16 Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC), including 11 EU member states.

Besides China, the 16 countries that participate in the summit include EU members Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia, as well as non-EU states Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia, Montenegro and Serbia.

Ever since its launch in 2012, the format has been viewed by Western critics as an instrument for Beijing to divide and undermine the EU by dangling the CEE states closer trade and investment opportunities with China.

But analysts say that in Sofia, the Chinese premier will try to avoid issues that might irk western capitals and the European Commission in Brussels. Let's hope and pray for it.

"I think that Premier Li Keqiang will adopt a low profile on the issues that might infringe on community affairs of the EU this time around," Francois Godement, director of Asia and China program at the European Council of Foreign Relations, told Reuters news agency.

Despite the substantial rise in Chinese investment in CEE nations in recent years, the region accounts for less than 10 percent of total Chinese money inflows into Europe. Most Chinese investment still goes to Western European countries like the United Kingdom, Germany, France and Italy.

The EU and the United States, meanwhile, account for around 90 percent of investment flows to the CEE region, highlighting their far greater importance to the region.

Interesting is to know more about the question if  China is  on course with 'Made in China 2025' amid trade row with US? China –really a free trade champion?

With Trump adopting protectionist trade and economic policies, China is increasingly positioning itself as a proponent of free trade.

Li said on Saturday that Beijing will stay on the path of economic reform, and would be more flexible about allowing foreign products to enter its domestic market.

"For foreign products which meet Chinese consumer needs, we will open the door wider to them to come into the Chinese market," he told the 16+1 summit participants. "We will lower overall import tariffs to the Chinese market," adding that his country would uphold free trade agreements.

Again: regarding this topic, my today's column can only end up with 'TO BE CONTINUED'!